Flamengo 2 x 0 Bahia

Flamengo vs Bahia, Week 12 of the 2026 season. Odds point to a Flamengo win (1.50) with Bahiaand a 4.50 draw. The data underlines Flamengo’s home strength and Bahia’s away profile, but it’s not a foregone conclusion.

Home edge: Flamengo’s win rate at home sits around 75% with an xG of 1.70 at home; Bahia concedes an average of 1.82 xG away but can hit back with 1.18 xG on the road.

Head-to-head tempo: The typical match between these two teams yields around 2.88 total xG, suggesting a likely mid-range scoreline rather than a defensive grind.

Goal timing and scoring: Average BTTS rate between both teams is 55%, while the first half BTTS average sits near 20%. Expect goals to be more likely after the break but not guaranteed early.

Goal totals: The market leans to over 2.5 goals (1.84) with under 3.5 a strong option (1.33). Over 4.5 is a long shot (5.75).

Corners: Average total corners around 9 per match; lines for 7.5–9.5 are options, with Over 9.5and Over 7.5.

Clean sheets: Flamengo clean sheets are quoted, suggesting a real chance of keeping Bahia out, though Bahia’s own clean sheet price is much higher (5.50), reflecting a lower probability.

Prediction snapshot: Flamengo look best placed to win given home form and higher xG, with a likely 1-0 to 2-1 type game. A conservative range would be Flamengo 1–0 or 2–1 Bahia, but Flamengo’s pressure and finishing edge keep them as favorites.

Betting angles to consider:

Main: Flamengo to win (1.50).

Double Chance: Flamengo win or draw (1.09).

Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals (1.84) and BTTS Yes (1.96) as a combined angle.

Corners: Over 9.5 corners (2.03) or Over 7.5 (1.26) for a higher-variance play.

Note: The match status is incomplete data, but the trends point to Flamengo asserting control at home with a reasonable chance of a goal-heavy but not goleado outcome.